March 7, MGM Grand, Las Vegas
TV: NBC
By Peter Lim
Everything
matches up evenly with both these guys including Thurman's youth
against Guerrero's experience. But styles make fights and forward-moving
boxer-punchers are typically more vulnerable to bait-and-blast
exponents than vice-versa.
The more aggressive Guerrero is,
the more exposed he will leave himself to Thurman's punishing counters.
Should Guerrero choose to exercise caution and box tactically from the
outside, which he certainly has the capacity to do, it will be a
closer, albeit less exciting, fight. But Guerrero's machismo will get the better of him and play
directly into Thurman's hands.
Guerrero will make
adjustments in the middle rounds and find some success in countering Thurman's counters from
his southpaw stance but Thurman will also adjust and continue to get the
better of the exchanges. Thurman will win a lopsided decision that
doesn't reflect the closeness of most of the rounds in what turns out to be a spirited and suspense-filled fight.
Afterthoughts
Thurman's cannon of a right hand might be the most overlooked fight-ending punch in the game. Anyone other than Guerrero would have wilted.
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